How do you calculate the odds of seeing an extraterrestrial vehicle & compare it to the odds of winning the lottery?

Is there some mathematical formula that approximates the number of civilizations in the galaxy, and from there somehow narrow down your odds of seeing an extraterrestrial vehicle?

Is winning the lottery more probable than seeing an extraterrestrial vehicle?

How can we approximate that result?

If winning the lottery is less probable, then it's almost impossible that no one has seen an extra-terrestrial UFO in this very century and even before that!

submitted by /u/Hope1995x
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source https://www.reddit.com/r/UFOs/comments/pdzuct/how_do_you_calculate_the_odds_of_seeing_an/

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